How To Remember Confusion Matrix; True Positive, True Negative, False Positive And False Negative
Every time I read about these four terms i.e. True Positive(TP), True Negative(TN), False Positive(FP), and False Negative, I thought that I got it. Later I get confused and then mess up. I guess this happens with you too. Maybe this is the reason these four terms are called confusion matrix or Error Matrix.
After Googling these terms I came into this medium blog1 of Sarang Narkhede. The picture you see at the top, taken from there and it is convincing. Still, I am not sure about remembering these terms.
For remembering things, I always believe in connection. Connection is the best way to store things for the long term. If you read the book How to Take Smart Notes by Sönke Ahrens, you will get a good example of remembering the difference between artery and vein by creating connection with old knowledge. That’s my favorite example. Ok! lot of pep talk. Let’s come to the point.
The confusion matrix is a table of 4 different combinations of predicted and actual values1. All these terms consist of two words. The first part consists of True/False and the second part Positive/Negative. You need to remember two connections to understand the confusion matrix:
- Second part(Positive/Negative) is the predicted value. That comes from your model or test
- First part(True/False) verifies the second part. Whether the second part(prediction) is true or false.
Consider a hypothetical scenario. A pregnancy test was done on urine samples of a man and woman. The woman is pregnant. Also, look into the picture.
- True Positive: The prediction is Positive(women pregnant) that is True
- True Negative: The prediction is Negative(man not pregnant) that is True
This time the nurse forgetfully swapped the urine sample of the pregnant woman with a man 😋.
- False Positive: The prediction is Positive(man pregnant) that is False and impossible!
- False Negative: The prediction is Negative(Women not pregnant) that is False
Now Read the two rules again. You will remember the confusion matrix for life.
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👋 About Me
Hi, I’m Shuvangkar Das — a power systems researcher with a Ph.D. in Electrical Engineering, currently working as a Research Engineer at EPRI. I work at the intersection of power electronics, inverter-based DERs (IBRs), and AI to help build smarter, greener, and more stable electric grids.
My work spans large-scale EMT simulations, firmware development, reinforcement learning, and hardware prototyping. Beyond engineering, I’m also a YouTuber and content creator — sharing hands-on insights on productivity, research, and knowledge management. My goal is simple: to make complex ideas more accessible and actionable for everyone.
📚 References/Obsidian Notes
[[Confusion Matrix]]
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